Trussville, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

171
FXUS64 KBMX 180519
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1219 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025

Low clouds will work in across the area early this morning but
should mix out by mid to late morning. Highs are forecast to reach
the lower 90s during the afternoon, but similar to yesterday, cloud
cover and afternoon rain and storm chances may work to hold down
temps and heat indices. Heat index values should stay below 105F, so
a Heat Advisory is not warranted.

Latest CAMs show northward moving convection during the
afternoon, partially associated with remains of Invest 93L, which
has moved into Louisiana. Similar to today, the overall intensity
of any thunderstorms should remain on the lower end of the
spectrum, and widespread severe activity is not expected.

Saturday will be similar, temperature-wise. Rain chances may be a
tad lower Saturday afternoon vs. Friday afternoon given current
trends.

12

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025

As Invest 93L drifts around to the west, it should gradually become
more diffuse over the weekend. Still, afternoon convection is
possible over the region each day. Going into next week, guidance
currently supports highest rain chances generally in southern and
eastern areas. A ridge will build back in back early to mid week,
with high temperatures reaching back into the mid 90s. Heat indices
will again be higher, and further issuances of heat products may be
needed. As mentioned in the previous forecast cycle, if the ridge
begins to dominate the region into mid week, current rain chances
each afternoon may decrease and temps may tick up another couple
degrees from current forecast.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025

Low clouds are likely to develop during the morning hours. Currently
have all sites dropping to MVFR cigs by 09 or 10z, with ceilings
rising by mid to late morning. Shower development is likely during
the afternoon hours, but coverage is questionable. Maintained PROB30
for SHRA vs. prevailing. Thunderstorms are possible but coverage is
not enough to mention at a specific terminal at this time.

NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND has been added at MGM until
further notice due to comms issues.

12

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Fire weather concerns will remain limited, with min RH values
remaining 50-60% or above through the weekend, with values in some
spots dipping into the 40s by mid week. Winds will stay generally
under 10 mph for most of the next week, varying direction with each
day. Rain and storm chances remain in the forecast each afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     94  71  93  72 /  70  30  50  20
Anniston    92  72  92  73 /  70  30  40  20
Birmingham  92  74  92  74 /  70  20  50  20
Tuscaloosa  90  75  92  75 /  70  20  50  20
Calera      90  73  92  74 /  70  20  40  20
Auburn      93  73  92  75 /  50  20  30  10
Montgomery  94  74  94  75 /  70  20  40  10
Troy        92  72  93  73 /  60  20  40  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...12